Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001714 0.001829 0.001948 0.002080 0.002223 0.002374 0.002545
2025-01-05 0.001532 0.001691 0.001863 0.002063 0.002289 0.002539 0.002836
2025-01-12 0.001389 0.001573 0.001778 0.002023 0.002312 0.002641 0.003047
2025-01-19 0.001292 0.001493 0.001723 0.002006 0.002349 0.002751 0.003265
2025-01-26 0.001179 0.001385 0.001625 0.001928 0.002302 0.002754 0.003345
2025-02-02 0.001149 0.001372 0.001638 0.001979 0.002412 0.002947 0.003669
2025-02-09 0.001115 0.001352 0.001638 0.002013 0.002499 0.003113 0.003964
2025-02-16 0.001109 0.001364 0.001677 0.002097 0.002651 0.003370 0.004390
2025-02-23 0.001068 0.001328 0.001654 0.002097 0.002693 0.003480 0.004624
2025-03-02 0.001004 0.001261 0.001586 0.002035 0.002647 0.003470 0.004687
2025-03-09 0.000954 0.001210 0.001537 0.001994 0.002627 0.003492 0.004795
2025-03-16 0.000923 0.001181 0.001516 0.001989 0.002655 0.003581 0.005002
2025-03-23 0.000881 0.001140 0.001480 0.001968 0.002667 0.003658 0.005213
2025-03-30 0.000844 0.001104 0.001449 0.001953 0.002688 0.003749 0.005455
2025-04-06 0.000802 0.001059 0.001405 0.001917 0.002674 0.003788 0.005617
2025-04-13 0.000771 0.001027 0.001377 0.001901 0.002690 0.003870 0.005851
2025-04-20 0.000723 0.000970 0.001311 0.001828 0.002614 0.003808 0.005845
2025-04-27 0.000716 0.000972 0.001328 0.001876 0.002725 0.004042 0.006345
2025-05-04 0.000705 0.000966 0.001334 0.001907 0.002812 0.004241 0.006798
2025-05-11 0.000708 0.000980 0.001369 0.001986 0.002976 0.004575 0.007515
2025-05-18 0.000689 0.000961 0.001354 0.001986 0.003013 0.004700 0.007867
2025-05-25 0.000655 0.000920 0.001305 0.001928 0.002953 0.004657 0.007905
2025-06-01 0.000629 0.000888 0.001268 0.001889 0.002923 0.004664 0.008037